Experiments suggest smaller models could eventually replicate across connected devices; this is not evidence of a real-world outbreak.
Anthropic found that small models can perform individual replication tasks but remain unreliable across the complete sequence. Stronger models succeeded in simplified evaluations.
Its end-of-year capability estimate depends on continued progress. The laboratory setup does not establish reliable propagation across the open internet.
This is an original summary, not a republication of the full report.
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